Recent Publications

Selected recent articles from MMC modeling groups

Aguas, Ricardo, Richard J. Maude, M. Gabriela M. Gomes, Lisa J. White, Nicholas J. White, and Arjen M. Dondorp. 2018. “Infectivity of Chronic Malaria Infections and Its Consequences for Control and Elimination.” Clinical Infectious Diseases: An Official Publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America 67 (2): 295–302.


Aydemir, Ozkan, Mark Janko, Nick J. Hathaway, Robert Verity, Melchior Kashamuka Mwandagalirwa, Antoinette K. Tshefu, Sofonias K. Tessema, et al. 2018. “Drug-Resistance and Population Structure of Plasmodium Falciparum Across the Democratic Republic of Congo Using High-Throughput Molecular Inversion Probes.” The Journal of Infectious Diseases 218 (6): 946–55.


Bershteyn, Anna, Jaline Gerardin, Daniel Bridenbecker, Christopher W. Lorton, Jonathan Bloedow, Robert S. Baker, Guillaume Chabot-Couture, et al. 2018. “Implementation and Applications of EMOD, an Individual-Based Multi-Disease Modeling Platform.” Pathogens and Disease, July.


Bradley, John, Will Stone, Dari F. Da, Isabelle Morlais, Alassane Dicko, Anna Cohuet, Wamdaogo M. Guelbeogo, et al. 2018. “Predicting the Likelihood and Intensity of Mosquito Infection from Sex Specific Plasmodium Falciparum Gametocyte Density.” ELife 7 (May).


Buckee, Caroline O., Maria I. E. Cardenas, June Corpuz, Arpita Ghosh, Farhana Haque, Jahirul Karim, Ayesha S. Mahmud, et al. 2018. “Productive Disruption: Opportunities and Challenges for Innovation in Infectious Disease Surveillance.” BMJ Global Health 3 (1): e000538.


Chang, Hsiao-Han, Amy Wesolowski, Ipsita Sinha, Christopher G. Jacob, Ayesha Mahmud, Didar Uddin, Sazid Ibna Zaman, et al. 2018. “The Geography of Malaria Elimination in Bangladesh: Combining Data Layers to Estimate the Spatial Spread of Parasites.” BioRxiv, September, 421578.


Elliott, R. C., D. L. Smith, and D. Echodu. 2018. “Medical and Entomological Malarial Interventions, a Comparison and Synergy of Two Control Measures Using a Ross/Macdonald Model Variant and Openmalaria Simulation.” Mathematical Biosciences 300 (June): 187–200.


Esperança, Pedro M., Andrew M. Blagborough, Dari F. Da, Floyd E. Dowell, and Thomas S. Churcher. 2018. “Detection of Plasmodium Berghei Infected Anopheles Stephensi Using Near-Infrared Spectroscopy.” Parasites & Vectors 11 (1): 377.


Gerardin, Jaline, Amelia Bertozzi-Villa, Philip A. Eckhoff, and Edward A. Wenger. 2018. “Impact of Mass Drug Administration Campaigns Depends on Interaction with Seasonal Human Movement.” International Health 10 (4): 252–57.


Greenhouse, Bryan, David L. Smith, Isabel Rodríguez-Barraquer, Ivo Mueller, and Chris J. Drakeley. 2018. “Taking Sharper Pictures of Malaria with Combined Antibodies to Measure Exposure Recency Assays.” The American Journal of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene, October.


Hancock, Penelope A., Antoinette Wiebe, Katherine A. Gleave, Samir Bhatt, Ewan Cameron, Anna Trett, David Weetman, et al. 2018. “Associated Patterns of Insecticide Resistance in Field Populations of Malaria Vectors across Africa.” Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America 115 (23): 5938–43.


Hellewell, Joel, Patrick Walker, Azra Ghani, Bhargavi Rao, and Thomas S. Churcher. 2018. “Using Ante-Natal Clinic Prevalence Data to Monitor Temporal Changes in Malaria Incidence in a Humanitarian Setting in the Democratic Republic of Congo.” Malaria Journal 17 (1): 312.


Hogan, Alexandra B., Peter Winskill, Robert Verity, Jamie T. Griffin, and Azra C. Ghani. 2018. “Modelling Population-Level Impact to Inform Target Product Profiles for Childhood Malaria Vaccines.” BMC Medicine 16 (1): 109.


Lambert, Ben, Maggy T. Sikulu-Lord, Vale S. Mayagaya, Greg Devine, Floyd Dowell, and Thomas S. Churcher. 2018. “Monitoring the Age of Mosquito Populations Using Near-Infrared Spectroscopy.” Scientific Reports 8 (1): 5274.


Landier, Jordi, Daniel M. Parker, Aung Myint Thu, Khin Maung Lwin, Gilles Delmas, François H. Nosten, Chiara Andolina, et al. 2018. “Effect of Generalised Access to Early Diagnosis and Treatment and Targeted Mass Drug Administration on Plasmodium Falciparum Malaria in Eastern Myanmar: An Observational Study of a Regional Elimination Programme.” The Lancet 391 (10133): 1916–26.


Marshall, John M., Sean L. Wu, Hector M. Sanchez C, Samson S. Kiware, Micky Ndhlovu, André Lin Ouédraogo, Mahamoudou B. Touré, Hugh J. Sturrock, Azra C. Ghani, and Neil M. Ferguson. 2018. “Mathematical Models of Human Mobility of Relevance to Malaria Transmission in Africa.” Scientific Reports 8 (1): 7713.


Ngor, Pengby, Lisa J. White, Jeremy Chalk, Yoel Lubell, Cecelia Favede, Phaik-Yeong Cheah, Chea Nguon, et al. 2018. “Smartphones for Community Health in Rural Cambodia: A Feasibility Study.” Wellcome Open Research 3 (June): 69.


Noé, Andrés, Sazid Ibna Zaman, Mosiqure Rahman, Anjan Kumar Saha, M. M. Aktaruzzaman, and Richard James Maude. 2018. “Mapping the Stability of Malaria Hotspots in Bangladesh from 2013 to 2016.” Malaria Journal 17 (1): 259.


Ouédraogo, André Lin, Philip A. Eckhoff, Adrian J. F. Luty, Will Roeffen, Robert W. Sauerwein, Teun Bousema, and Edward A. Wenger. 2018. “Modeling the Impact of Plasmodium Falciparum Sexual Stage Immunity on the Composition and Dynamics of the Human Infectious Reservoir for Malaria in Natural Settings.” PLoS Pathogens 14 (5): e1007034.


Parker, Daniel M., Sai Thein Than Tun, Lisa White, Ladda Kajeechiwa, May Myo Thwin, Jordi Landier, Victor Chaumeau, et al. 2018. “Herd Protection against Plasmodium Falciparum Infections Conferred by Mass Antimalarial Drug Administrations and the Implications for Malaria Elimination.” BioRxiv, August, 393843.


Perez-Guzman, Pablo Noel, Luiz Carlos Junior Alcantara, Uri Obolski, Maricelia M. de Lima, Elizabeth A. Ashley, Frank Smithuis, Peter Horby, et al. 2018. “Measuring Mosquito-Borne Viral Suitability in Myanmar and Implications for Local Zika Virus Transmission.” PLOS Currents Outbreaks, September.


Peto, Thomas J., Rupam Tripura, and Richard J. Maude. 2018. “Strengthen Village Malaria Reporting to Better Target Reservoirs of Persistent Infections in Southeast Asia.” Clinical Infectious Diseases.


Plewes, Katherine, Hugh W. F. Kingston, Aniruddha Ghose, Thanaporn Wattanakul, Md Mahtab Uddin Hassan, Md Shafiul Haider, Prodip K. Dutta, et al. 2018. “Acetaminophen as a Renoprotective Adjunctive Treatment in Patients With Severe and Moderately Severe Falciparum Malaria: A Randomized, Controlled, Open-Label Trial.” Clinical Infectious Diseases 67 (7): 991–99.


Poostchi, Mahdieh, Kamolrat Silamut, Richard J. Maude, Stefan Jaeger, and George Thoma. 2018. “Image Analysis and Machine Learning for Detecting Malaria.” Translational Research: The Journal of Laboratory and Clinical Medicine 194: 36–55.


Rajaraman, Sivaramakrishnan, Sameer K. Antani, Mahdieh Poostchi, Kamolrat Silamut, Md A. Hossain, Richard J. Maude, Stefan Jaeger, and George R. Thoma. 2018. “Pre-Trained Convolutional Neural Networks as Feature Extractors toward Improved Malaria Parasite Detection in Thin Blood Smear Images.” PeerJ 6: e4568.


Rajaraman, Sivaramakrishnan, Kamolrat Silamut, Md A. Hossain, Ilker Ersoy, Richard J. Maude, Stefan Jaeger, George R. Thoma, and Sameer K. Antani. 2018. “Understanding the Learned Behavior of Customized Convolutional Neural Networks toward Malaria Parasite Detection in Thin Blood Smear Images.” Journal of Medical Imaging 5 (3): 034501.


Rodriguez-Barraquer, Isabel, Emmanuel Arinaitwe, Prasanna Jagannathan, Moses R. Kamya, Phillip J. Rosenthal, John Rek, Grant Dorsey, et al. 2018. “Quantification of Anti-Parasite and Anti-Disease Immunity to Malaria as a Function of Age and Exposure.” ELife 7 (July).


Routledge, Isobel, José Eduardo Romero Chevéz, Zulma M. Cucunubá, Manuel Gomez Rodriguez, Caterina Guinovart, Kyle B. Gustafson, Kammerle Schneider, Patrick G. T. Walker, Azra C. Ghani, and Samir Bhatt. 2018. “Estimating Spatiotemporally Varying Malaria Reproduction Numbers in a near Elimination Setting.” Nature Communications 9 (1): 2476.


Selvaraj, Prashanth, Edward A. Wenger, and Jaline Gerardin. 2018. “Seasonality and Heterogeneity of Malaria Transmission Determine Success of Interventions in High-Endemic Settings: A Modeling Study.” BMC Infectious Diseases 18 (1): 413.


Sherrard-Smith, Ellie, Katarzyna A. Sala, Michael Betancourt, Leanna M. Upton, Fiona Angrisano, Merribeth J. Morin, Azra C. Ghani, Thomas S. Churcher, and Andrew M. Blagborough. 2018. “Synergy in Anti-Malarial Pre-Erythrocytic and Transmission-Blocking Antibodies Is Achieved by Reducing Parasite Density.” ELife 7 (June).


Smith, Neal R., James M. Trauer, Manoj Gambhir, Jack S. Richards, Richard J. Maude, Jonathan M. Keith, and Jennifer A. Flegg. 2018. “Agent-Based Models of Malaria Transmission: A Systematic Review.” Malaria Journal 17 (1): 299.


Stone, Will J. R., Joseph J. Campo, André Lin Ouédraogo, Lisette Meerstein-Kessel, Isabelle Morlais, Dari Da, Anna Cohuet, et al. 2018. “Unravelling the Immune Signature of Plasmodium Falciparum Transmission-Reducing Immunity.” Nature Communications 9 (1): 558.


Verity, Robert, Nicholas J. Hathaway, Andreea Waltmann, Stephanie M. Doctor, Oliver J. Watson, Jaymin C. Patel, Kashamuka Mwandagalirwa, et al. 2018. “Plasmodium Falciparum Genetic Variation of Var2csa in the Democratic Republic of the Congo.” Malaria Journal 17 (1): 46.


White, Michael T., Stephan Karl, Cristian Koepfli, Rhea J. Longley, Natalie E. Hofmann, Rahel Wampfler, Ingrid Felger, et al. 2018. “Plasmodium Vivax and Plasmodium Falciparum Infection Dynamics: Re-Infections, Recrudescences and Relapses.” Malaria Journal 17 (1): 170.


White, Michael T., Patrick Walker, Stephan Karl, Manuel W. Hetzel, Tim Freeman, Andreea Waltmann, Moses Laman, Leanne J. Robinson, Azra Ghani, and Ivo Mueller. 2018. “Mathematical Modelling of the Impact of Expanding Levels of Malaria Control Interventions on Plasmodium Vivax.” Nature Communications 9 (1): 3300.


Wong, Wesley, Edward A. Wenger, Daniel L. Hartl, and Dyann F. Wirth. 2018. “Modeling the Genetic Relatedness of Plasmodium Falciparum Parasites Following Meiotic Recombination and Cotransmission.” PLOS Computational Biology 14 (1): e1005923.


Brady, Oliver J, Hannah C Slater, Peter Pemberton-Ross, Edward Wenger, Richard J Maude, Azra C Ghani, Melissa A Penny, et al. 2017. “Role of Mass Drug Administration in Elimination of Plasmodium Falciparum Malaria: A Consensus Modelling Study.” The Lancet. Global Health 5 (7):e680–87.


Bretscher, Michael T., Jamie T. Griffin, Azra C. Ghani, and Lucy C. Okell. 2017. “Modelling the Benefits of Long-Acting or Transmission-Blocking Drugs for Reducing Plasmodium Falciparum Transmission by Case Management or by Mass Treatment.Malaria Journal 16 (August):341.


Challenger, Joseph D., Katia Bruxvoort, Azra C. Ghani, and Lucy C. Okell. 2017. “Assessing the Impact of Imperfect Adherence to Artemether-Lumefantrine on Malaria Treatment Outcomes Using within-Host Modelling.” Nature Communications 8 (1):1373.


Cohen, Justin M., Arnaud Le Menach, Emilie Pothin, Thomas P. Eisele, Peter W. Gething, Philip A. Eckhoff, Bruno Moonen, Allan Schapira, and David L. Smith. 2017. “Mapping Multiple Components of Malaria Risk for Improved Targeting of Elimination Interventions.Malaria Journal 16 (November):459.


Drake, Tom L., Yoel Lubell, Shwe Sin Kyaw, Angela Devine, Myat Phone Kyaw, Nicholas P. J. Day, Frank M. Smithuis, and Lisa J. White. 2017. “Geographic Resource Allocation Based on Cost Effectiveness: An Application to Malaria Policy.Applied Health Economics and Health Policy 15 (3):299–306.


Eckhoff, Philip A., Edward A. Wenger, H. Charles J. Godfray, and Austin Burt. 2017. “Impact of Mosquito Gene Drive on Malaria Elimination in a Computational Model with Explicit Spatial and Temporal Dynamics.” Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 114 (2):E255–64.


Galactionova, Katya, Thomas A. Smith, Don de Savigny, and Melissa A. Penny. 2017. “State of Inequality in Malaria Intervention Coverage in Sub-Saharan African Countries.” BMC Medicine 15 (October):185.


Galactionova, Katya, Fabrizio Tediosi, Flavia Camponovo, Thomas A. Smith, Peter W. Gething, and Melissa A. Penny. 2017. “Country Specific Predictions of the Cost-Effectiveness of Malaria Vaccine RTS,S/AS01 in Endemic Africa.Vaccine 35 (1):53–60.


Gerardin, Jaline, Caitlin A. Bever, Daniel Bridenbecker, Busiku Hamainza, Kafula Silumbe, John M. Miller, Thomas P. Eisele, Philip A. Eckhoff, and Edward A. Wenger. 2017. “Effectiveness of Reactive Case Detection for Malaria Elimination in Three Archetypical Transmission Settings: A Modelling Study.Malaria Journal 16 (June):248.


Hamilton, Matthew, Guy Mahiane, Elric Werst, Rachel Sanders, Olivier Briët, Thomas Smith, Richard Cibulskis, et al. 2017. “Spectrum-Malaria: A User-Friendly Projection Tool for Health Impact Assessment and Strategic Planning by Malaria Control Programmes in Sub-Saharan Africa.Malaria Journal 16 (February):68.


Kiware, Samson S., Nakul Chitnis, Allison Tatarsky, Sean Wu, Héctor Manuel Sánchez Castellanos, Roly Gosling, David Smith, and John M. Marshall. 2017. “Attacking the Mosquito on Multiple Fronts: Insights from the Vector Control Optimization Model (VCOM) for Malaria Elimination.PLOS ONE 12 (12):e0187680.


Korenromp, Eline, Matthew Hamilton, Rachel Sanders, Guy Mahiané, Olivier J. T. Briët, Thomas Smith, William Winfrey, Neff Walker, and John Stover. 2017. “Impact of Malaria Interventions on Child Mortality in Endemic African Settings: Comparison and Alignment between LiST and Spectrum-Malaria Model.BMC Public Health 17 (Suppl 4).


Lee, Bruce Y., Sarah M. Bartsch, Nathan T. B. Stone, Shufang Zhang, Shawn T. Brown, Chandrani Chatterjee, Jay V. DePasse, et al. 2017. “The Economic Value of Long-Lasting Insecticidal Nets and Indoor Residual Spraying Implementation in Mozambique.” The American Journal of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene 96 (6):1430–40.


malERA. 2017. “An Updated Research Agenda for Combination Interventions and Modelling in Malaria Elimination and Eradication.” PLOS Medicine 14 (11):e1002453.


Okell, Lucy C., Jamie T. Griffin, and Cally Roper. 2017. “Mapping Sulphadoxine-Pyrimethamine-Resistant Plasmodium Falciparum Malaria in Infected Humans and in Parasite Populations in Africa.Scientific Reports 7 (1):7389.


Parr, Jonathan B., Robert Verity, Stephanie M. Doctor, Mark Janko, Kelly Carey-Ewend, Breanna J. Turman, Corinna Keeler, et al. 2017. “Pfhrp2-Deleted Plasmodium Falciparum Parasites in the Democratic Republic of the Congo: A National Cross-Sectional Survey.” The Journal of Infectious Diseases 216 (1):36–44.


Pemberton-Ross, Peter, Nakul Chitnis, Emilie Pothin, and Thomas A. Smith. 2017. “A Stochastic Model for the Probability of Malaria Extinction by Mass Drug Administration.” Malaria Journal 16 (September):376.


Searle, Kelly M., Jailos Lubinda, Harry Hamapumbu, Timothy M. Shields, Frank C. Curriero, David L. Smith, Philip E. Thuma, and William J. Moss. 2017. “Characterizing and Quantifying Human Movement Patterns Using GPS Data Loggers in an Area Approaching Malaria Elimination in Rural Southern Zambia.” Royal Society Open Science 4 (5):170046.


Slater, Hannah C., Lucy C. Okell, and Azra C. Ghani. 2017. “Mathematical Modelling to Guide Drug Development for Malaria Elimination.” Trends in Parasitology, Special Issue: Drugs and Vaccines, 33 (3):175–84.


Tatem, Andrew J., Peng Jia, Dariya Ordanovich, Michael Falkner, Zhuojie Huang, Rosalind Howes, Simon I. Hay, Peter W. Gething, and David L. Smith. 2017. “The Geography of Imported Malaria to Non-Endemic Countries: A Meta-Analysis of Nationally Reported Statistics.” The Lancet Infectious Diseases 17 (1):98–107.


Tejedor Garavito, Natalia, Nomcebo Dlamini, Deepa Pindolia, Adam Soble, Nick W. Ruktanonchai, Victor Alegana, Arnaud Le Menach, et al. 2017. “Travel Patterns and Demographic Characteristics of Malaria Cases in Swaziland, 2010–2014.Malaria Journal 16 (September):359.


Tun, Sai Thein Than, Yoel Lubell, Arjen M. Dondorp, Tom Fieldman, Kyaw Myo Tun, Olivier Celhay, Xin Hui Chan, Sompob Saralamba, and Lisa J. White. 2017. “Identifying Artemisinin Resistance from Parasite Clearance Half-Life Data with a Simple Shiny Web Application.PLOS ONE 12 (5):e0177840.


Wiebe, Antoinette, Joshua Longbottom, Katherine Gleave, Freya M. Shearer, Marianne E. Sinka, N. Claire Massey, Ewan Cameron, et al. 2017. “Geographical Distributions of African Malaria Vector Sibling Species and Evidence for Insecticide Resistance.” Malaria Journal 16 (February):85.


Winskill, Peter, Patrick GT Walker, Jamie T. Griffin, and Azra C. Ghani. 2017. “Modelling the Cost-Effectiveness of Introducing the RTS,S Malaria Vaccine Relative to Scaling up Other Malaria Interventions in Sub-Saharan Africa.” BMJ Global Health 2 (1):e000090.

Yukich, Joshua, Adam Bennett, Rudy Yukich, Logan Stuck, Busiku Hamainza, Kafula Silumbe, Tom Smith, et al. 2017. “Estimation of Malaria Parasite Reservoir Coverage Using Reactive Case Detection and Active Community Fever Screening from Census Data with Rapid Diagnostic Tests in Southern Zambia: A Re-Sampling Approach.Malaria Journal 16 (August).

Yukich, Joshua O., and Nakul Chitnis. 2017. “Modelling the Implications of Stopping Vector Control for Malaria Control and Elimination.Malaria Journal 16 (October):411.

Abboubakar, H., B. Buonomo, and N. Chitnis. 2016. “Modelling the Effects of Malaria Infection on Mosquito Biting Behaviour and Attractiveness of Humans.” Ricerche Di Matematica 65 (1):329–46.


Alegana, Victor A., Simon P. Kigozi, Joaniter Nankabirwa, Emmanuel Arinaitwe, Ruth Kigozi, Henry Mawejje, Maxwell Kilama, et al. 2016. “Spatio-Temporal Analysis of Malaria Vector Density from Baseline through Intervention in a High Transmission Setting.” Parasites & Vectors 9 (December):637.


Bellinger, Andrew M., Mousa Jafari, Tyler M. Grant, Shiyi Zhang, Hannah C. Slater, Edward A. Wenger, Stacy Mo, et al. 2016. “Oral, Ultra–long-Lasting Drug Delivery: Application toward Malaria Elimination Goals.Science Translational Medicine 8 (365):365ra157-365ra157.


Brady, Oliver J., H. Charles J. Godfray, Andrew J. Tatem, Peter W. Gething, Justin M. Cohen, F. Ellis McKenzie, T. Alex Perkins, et al. 2016. “Vectorial Capacity and Vector Control: Reconsidering Sensitivity to Parameters for Malaria Elimination.Transactions of the Royal Society of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene 110 (2):107–17.


Drake, Tom L., Angela Devine, Shunmay Yeung, Nicholas P. J. Day, Lisa J. White, and Yoel Lubell. 2016. “Dynamic Transmission Economic Evaluation of Infectious Disease Interventions in Low? and Middle?Income Countries: A Systematic Literature Review.” Health Economics 25 (Suppl Suppl 1):124–39.


Gerardin, Jaline, Caitlin A. Bever, Busiku Hamainza, John M. Miller, Philip A. Eckhoff, and Edward A. Wenger. 2016. “Optimal Population-Level Infection Detection Strategies for Malaria Control and Elimination in a Spatial Model of Malaria Transmission.” PLOS Computational Biology 12 (1):e1004707.


Gething, Peter W., Daniel C. Casey, Daniel J. Weiss, Donal Bisanzio, Samir Bhatt, Ewan Cameron, Katherine E. Battle, et al. 2016. “Mapping Plasmodium Falciparum Mortality in Africa between 1990 and 2015.New England Journal of Medicine 375 (25):2435–45.


Griffin, Jamie T, Samir Bhatt, Marianne E Sinka, Peter W Gething, Michael Lynch, Edith Patouillard, Erin Shutes, et al. 2016. “Potential for Reduction of Burden and Local Elimination of Malaria by Reducing Plasmodium Falciparum Malaria Transmission: A Mathematical Modelling Study.” The Lancet Infectious Diseases 16 (4):465–72.


Howes, Rosalind E., Katherine E. Battle, Kamini N. Mendis, David L. Smith, Richard E. Cibulskis, J. Kevin Baird, and Simon I. Hay. 2016. “Global Epidemiology of Plasmodium Vivax.” The American Journal of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene 95 (6 Suppl):15–34.


Huber, John H., Geoffrey L. Johnston, Bryan Greenhouse, David L. Smith, and T. Alex Perkins. 2016. “Quantitative, Model-Based Estimates of Variability in the Generation and Serial Intervals of Plasmodium Falciparum Malaria.” Malaria Journal 15 (September):490.


Katureebe, Agaba, Kate Zinszer, Emmanuel Arinaitwe, John Rek, Elijah Kakande, Katia Charland, Ruth Kigozi, et al. 2016. “Measures of Malaria Burden after Long-Lasting Insecticidal Net Distribution and Indoor Residual Spraying at Three Sites in Uganda: A Prospective Observational Study.” PLOS Medicine 13 (11):e1002167.


Korenromp, Eline, Guy Mahiané, Matthew Hamilton, Carel Pretorius, Richard Cibulskis, Jeremy Lauer, Thomas A. Smith, and Olivier J. T. Briët. 2016. “Malaria Intervention Scale-up in Africa: Effectiveness Predictions for Health Programme Planning Tools, Based on Dynamic Transmission Modelling.” Malaria Journal 15 (August).


Kyaw, Shwe Sin, Tom Drake, Aung Thi, Myat Phone Kyaw, Thaung Hlaing, Frank M. Smithuis, Lisa J. White, and Yoel Lubell. 2016. “Malaria Community Health Workers in Myanmar: A Cost Analysis.Malaria Journal 15 (January):41.


Lawniczak, Mara K. N., and Philip A. Eckhoff. 2016. “A Computational Lens for Sexual-Stage Transmission, Reproduction, Fitness and Kinetics in Plasmodium Falciparum.” Malaria Journal 15 (September):487.


Lin Ouédraogo, André, Bronner P. Gonçalves, Awa Gnémé, Edward A. Wenger, Moussa W. Guelbeogo, Amathe Ouédraogo, Jaline Gerardin, et al. 2016. “Dynamics of the Human Infectious Reservoir for Malaria Determined by Mosquito Feeding Assays and Ultrasensitive Malaria Diagnosis in Burkina Faso.The Journal of Infectious Diseases 213 (1):90–99.


Lubell, Yoel, Thomas Althaus, Stuart D. Blacksell, Daniel H. Paris, Mayfong Mayxay, Wirichada Pan-Ngum, Lisa J. White, Nicholas P. J. Day, and Paul N. Newton. 2016. “Modelling the Impact and Cost-Effectiveness of Biomarker Tests as Compared with Pathogen-Specific Diagnostics in the Management of Undifferentiated Fever in Remote Tropical Settings.” PLOS ONE 11 (3):e0152420.


Marshall, John M., Mahamoudou Touré, André Lin Ouédraogo, Micky Ndhlovu, Samson S. Kiware, Ashley Rezai, Emmy Nkhama, et al. 2016. “Key Traveller Groups of Relevance to Spatial Malaria Transmission: A Survey of Movement Patterns in Four Sub-Saharan African Countries.” Malaria Journal 15 (April):200.


Nikolov, Milen, Caitlin A. Bever, Alexander Upfill-Brown, Busiku Hamainza, John M. Miller, Philip A. Eckhoff, Edward A. Wenger, and Jaline Gerardin. 2016. “Malaria Elimination Campaigns in the Lake Kariba Region of Zambia: A Spatial Dynamical Model.PLOS Computational Biology 12 (11):e1005192.


Okell, L. C., and T. S. Churcher. 2016. “Generating the Evidence Base for Malaria Elimination: The Situation in Haiti.The Lancet Global Health 5(1): e16-17.


Parker, Daniel M., Jordi Landier, Lorenz von Seidlein, Arjen Dondorp, Lisa White, Borimas Hanboonkunupakarn, Richard J. Maude, and François H. Nosten. 2016. “Limitations of Malaria Reactive Case Detection in an Area of Low and Unstable Transmission on the Myanmar–Thailand Border.” Malaria Journal 15 (November):571.


Penny, Melissa A, Robert Verity, Caitlin A Bever, Christophe Sauboin, Katya Galactionova, Stefan Flasche, Michael T White, et al. 2016. “Public Health Impact and Cost-Effectiveness of the RTS,S/AS01 Malaria Vaccine: A Systematic Comparison of Predictions from Four Mathematical Models.” Lancet (London, England) 387 (10016):367–75.


Pothin, Emilie, Neil M. Ferguson, Chris J. Drakeley, and Azra C. Ghani. 2016. “Estimating Malaria Transmission Intensity from Plasmodium Falciparum Serological Data Using Antibody Density Models.” Malaria Journal 15 (February):79.


Rek, John, Shereen Katrak, Hannah Obasi, Patience Nayebare, Agaba Katureebe, Elijah Kakande, Emmanuel Arinaitwe, et al. 2016. “Characterizing Microscopic and Submicroscopic Malaria Parasitaemia at Three Sites with Varied Transmission Intensity in Uganda.” Malaria Journal 15 (September):470.


Rodriguez-Barraquer, Isabel, Emmanuel Arinaitwe, Prasanna Jagannathan, Michelle J. Boyle, Jordan Tappero, Mary Muhindo, Moses R. Kamya, et al. 2016. “Quantifying Heterogeneous Malaria Exposure and Clinical Protection in a Cohort of Ugandan Children.The Journal of Infectious Diseases 214 (7):1072–80.


Ruktanonchai, Nick W., Patrick DeLeenheer, Andrew J. Tatem, Victor A. Alegana, T. Trevor Caughlin, Elisabeth zu Erbach-Schoenberg, Christopher Lourenço, Corrine W. Ruktanonchai, and David L. Smith. 2016. “Identifying Malaria Transmission Foci for Elimination Using Human Mobility Data.” PLOS Computational Biology 12 (4):e1004846.


Ruktanonchai, Nick W., David L. Smith, and Patrick De Leenheer. 2016. “Parasite Sources and Sinks in a Patched Ross–Macdonald Malaria Model with Human and Mosquito Movement: Implications for Control.” Mathematical Biosciences 279 (Supplement C):90–101.


Smith, Thomas A., Nakul Chitnis, Melissa Penny, and Marcel Tanner. 2016. “Malaria Modeling in the Era of Eradication.Cold Spring Harbor Perspectives in Medicine, December, a025460.


Stuckey, Erin M., John M. Miller, Megan Littrell, Nakul Chitnis, and Rick Steketee. 2016. “Operational Strategies of Anti-Malarial Drug Campaigns for Malaria Elimination in Zambia’s Southern Province: A Simulation Study.Malaria Journal 15 (March):148.


Walker, Patrick G T, Jamie T Griffin, Neil M Ferguson, and Azra C Ghani. 2016. “Estimating the Most Efficient Allocation of Interventions to Achieve Reductions in Plasmodium Falciparum Malaria Burden and Transmission in Africa: A Modelling Study.The Lancet Global Health 4 (7):e474–84.


Zhao, Xia, David L. Smith, and Andrew J. Tatem. 2016. “Exploring the Spatiotemporal Drivers of Malaria Elimination in Europe.” Malaria Journal 15 (March):122.

Acevedo, Miguel A., Olivia Prosper, Kenneth Lopiano, Nick Ruktanonchai, T. Trevor Caughlin, Maia Martcheva, Craig W. Osenberg, and David L. Smith. 2015. “Spatial Heterogeneity, Host Movement and Mosquito-Borne Disease Transmission.PLOS ONE 10 (6):e0127552.


Adekunle, Adeshina I., Mykola Pinkevych, Rose McGready, Christine Luxemburger, Lisa J. White, François Nosten, Deborah Cromer, and Miles P. Davenport. 2015. “Modeling the Dynamics of Plasmodium Vivax Infection and Hypnozoite Reactivation In Vivo.PLOS Neglected Tropical Diseases 9 (3):e0003595.


Bhatt, S., D.J. Weiss, E. Cameron, D. Bisanzio, B. Mappin, U. Dalrymple, K. Battle, et al. 2015. “The Effect of Malaria Control on Plasmodium Falciparum in Africa between 2000 and 2015.Nature 526 (7572):207–11.


Bhatt, Samir, Daniel J. Weiss, Bonnie Mappin, Ursula Dalrymple, Ewan Cameron, Donal Bisanzio, David L. Smith, et al. 2015. “Coverage and System Efficiencies of Insecticide-Treated Nets in Africa from 2000 to 2017.” ELife 4 (December):e09672.


Brady, Oliver J., H. Charles J. Godfray, Andrew J. Tatem, Peter W. Gething, Justin M. Cohen, F. Ellis McKenzie, T. Alex Perkins, et al. 2015. “Adult Vector Control, Mosquito Ecology and Malaria Transmission.” International Health 7 (2):121–29.


Cairns, Matthew E., Patrick G. T. Walker, Lucy C. Okell, Jamie T. Griffin, Tini Garske, Kwaku Poku Asante, Seth Owusu-Agyei, et al. 2015. “Seasonality in Malaria Transmission: Implications for Case-Management with Long-Acting Artemisinin Combination Therapy in Sub-Saharan Africa.Malaria Journal 14 (August):321.


Cameron, Ewan, Katherine E. Battle, Samir Bhatt, Daniel J. Weiss, Donal Bisanzio, Bonnie Mappin, Ursula Dalrymple, et al. 2015. “Defining the Relationship between Infection Prevalence and Clinical Incidence of Plasmodium Falciparum Malaria.” Nature Communications 6 (September).


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