Research articles

Selected recent articles from MMC modeling groups

Brady, Oliver J, Hannah C Slater, Peter Pemberton-Ross, Edward Wenger, Richard J Maude, Azra C Ghani, Melissa A Penny, et al. 2017. “Role of Mass Drug Administration in Elimination of Plasmodium Falciparum Malaria: A Consensus Modelling Study.” The Lancet. Global Health 5 (7):e680–87.


Bretscher, Michael T., Jamie T. Griffin, Azra C. Ghani, and Lucy C. Okell. 2017. “Modelling the Benefits of Long-Acting or Transmission-Blocking Drugs for Reducing Plasmodium Falciparum Transmission by Case Management or by Mass Treatment.Malaria Journal 16 (August):341.


Camponovo, Flavia, Caitlin A. Bever, Katya Galactionova, Thomas Smith, and Melissa A. Penny. 2017. “Incidence and Admission Rates for Severe Malaria and Their Impact on Mortality in Africa.Malaria Journal 16 (January):1.


Challenger, Joseph D., Katia Bruxvoort, Azra C. Ghani, and Lucy C. Okell. 2017. “Assessing the Impact of Imperfect Adherence to Artemether-Lumefantrine on Malaria Treatment Outcomes Using within-Host Modelling.” Nature Communications 8 (1):1373.


Cohen, Justin M., Arnaud Le Menach, Emilie Pothin, Thomas P. Eisele, Peter W. Gething, Philip A. Eckhoff, Bruno Moonen, Allan Schapira, and David L. Smith. 2017. “Mapping Multiple Components of Malaria Risk for Improved Targeting of Elimination Interventions.Malaria Journal 16 (November):459.


Drake, Tom L., Yoel Lubell, Shwe Sin Kyaw, Angela Devine, Myat Phone Kyaw, Nicholas P. J. Day, Frank M. Smithuis, and Lisa J. White. 2017. “Geographic Resource Allocation Based on Cost Effectiveness: An Application to Malaria Policy.Applied Health Economics and Health Policy 15 (3):299–306.


Eckhoff, Philip A., Edward A. Wenger, H. Charles J. Godfray, and Austin Burt. 2017. “Impact of Mosquito Gene Drive on Malaria Elimination in a Computational Model with Explicit Spatial and Temporal Dynamics.” Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 114 (2):E255–64.


Galactionova, Katya, Thomas A. Smith, Don de Savigny, and Melissa A. Penny. 2017. “State of Inequality in Malaria Intervention Coverage in Sub-Saharan African Countries.” BMC Medicine 15 (October):185.


Galactionova, Katya, Fabrizio Tediosi, Flavia Camponovo, Thomas A. Smith, Peter W. Gething, and Melissa A. Penny. 2017. “Country Specific Predictions of the Cost-Effectiveness of Malaria Vaccine RTS,S/AS01 in Endemic Africa.Vaccine 35 (1):53–60.


Gerardin, Jaline, Caitlin A. Bever, Daniel Bridenbecker, Busiku Hamainza, Kafula Silumbe, John M. Miller, Thomas P. Eisele, Philip A. Eckhoff, and Edward A. Wenger. 2017. “Effectiveness of Reactive Case Detection for Malaria Elimination in Three Archetypical Transmission Settings: A Modelling Study.Malaria Journal 16 (June):248.


Hamilton, Matthew, Guy Mahiane, Elric Werst, Rachel Sanders, Olivier Briët, Thomas Smith, Richard Cibulskis, et al. 2017. “Spectrum-Malaria: A User-Friendly Projection Tool for Health Impact Assessment and Strategic Planning by Malaria Control Programmes in Sub-Saharan Africa.Malaria Journal 16 (February):68.


Kiware, Samson S., Nakul Chitnis, Allison Tatarsky, Sean Wu, Héctor Manuel Sánchez Castellanos, Roly Gosling, David Smith, and John M. Marshall. 2017. “Attacking the Mosquito on Multiple Fronts: Insights from the Vector Control Optimization Model (VCOM) for Malaria Elimination.PLOS ONE 12 (12):e0187680.


Korenromp, Eline, Matthew Hamilton, Rachel Sanders, Guy Mahiané, Olivier J. T. Briët, Thomas Smith, William Winfrey, Neff Walker, and John Stover. 2017. “Impact of Malaria Interventions on Child Mortality in Endemic African Settings: Comparison and Alignment between LiST and Spectrum-Malaria Model.BMC Public Health 17 (Suppl 4).


Lee, Bruce Y., Sarah M. Bartsch, Nathan T. B. Stone, Shufang Zhang, Shawn T. Brown, Chandrani Chatterjee, Jay V. DePasse, et al. 2017. “The Economic Value of Long-Lasting Insecticidal Nets and Indoor Residual Spraying Implementation in Mozambique.” The American Journal of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene 96 (6):1430–40.


malERA. 2017. “An Updated Research Agenda for Combination Interventions and Modelling in Malaria Elimination and Eradication.” PLOS Medicine 14 (11):e1002453.


Okell, Lucy C., Jamie T. Griffin, and Cally Roper. 2017. “Mapping Sulphadoxine-Pyrimethamine-Resistant Plasmodium Falciparum Malaria in Infected Humans and in Parasite Populations in Africa.Scientific Reports 7 (1):7389.


Parr, Jonathan B., Robert Verity, Stephanie M. Doctor, Mark Janko, Kelly Carey-Ewend, Breanna J. Turman, Corinna Keeler, et al. 2017. “Pfhrp2-Deleted Plasmodium Falciparum Parasites in the Democratic Republic of the Congo: A National Cross-Sectional Survey.” The Journal of Infectious Diseases 216 (1):36–44.


Pemberton-Ross, Peter, Nakul Chitnis, Emilie Pothin, and Thomas A. Smith. 2017. “A Stochastic Model for the Probability of Malaria Extinction by Mass Drug Administration.” Malaria Journal 16 (September):376.


Searle, Kelly M., Jailos Lubinda, Harry Hamapumbu, Timothy M. Shields, Frank C. Curriero, David L. Smith, Philip E. Thuma, and William J. Moss. 2017. “Characterizing and Quantifying Human Movement Patterns Using GPS Data Loggers in an Area Approaching Malaria Elimination in Rural Southern Zambia.” Royal Society Open Science 4 (5):170046.


Slater, Hannah C., Lucy C. Okell, and Azra C. Ghani. 2017. “Mathematical Modelling to Guide Drug Development for Malaria Elimination.” Trends in Parasitology, Special Issue: Drugs and Vaccines, 33 (3):175–84.


Tatem, Andrew J., Peng Jia, Dariya Ordanovich, Michael Falkner, Zhuojie Huang, Rosalind Howes, Simon I. Hay, Peter W. Gething, and David L. Smith. 2017. “The Geography of Imported Malaria to Non-Endemic Countries: A Meta-Analysis of Nationally Reported Statistics.” The Lancet Infectious Diseases 17 (1):98–107.


Tejedor‐Garavito, Natalia, Nomcebo Dlamini, Deepa Pindolia, Adam Soble, Nick W. Ruktanonchai, Victor Alegana, Arnaud Le Menach, et al. 2017. “Travel Patterns and Demographic Characteristics of Malaria Cases in Swaziland, 2010–2014.Malaria Journal 16 (September):359.


Tun, Sai Thein Than, Yoel Lubell, Arjen M. Dondorp, Tom Fieldman, Kyaw Myo Tun, Olivier Celhay, Xin Hui Chan, Sompob Saralamba, and Lisa J. White. 2017. “Identifying Artemisinin Resistance from Parasite Clearance Half-Life Data with a Simple Shiny Web Application.PLOS ONE 12 (5):e0177840.


Wiebe, Antoinette, Joshua Longbottom, Katherine Gleave, Freya M. Shearer, Marianne E. Sinka, N. Claire Massey, Ewan Cameron, et al. 2017. “Geographical Distributions of African Malaria Vector Sibling Species and Evidence for Insecticide Resistance.” Malaria Journal 16 (February):85.


Winskill, Peter, Patrick GT Walker, Jamie T. Griffin, and Azra C. Ghani. 2017. “Modelling the Cost-Effectiveness of Introducing the RTS,S Malaria Vaccine Relative to Scaling up Other Malaria Interventions in Sub-Saharan Africa.” BMJ Global Health 2 (1):e000090.


Yukich, Joshua, Adam Bennett, Rudy Yukich, Logan Stuck, Busiku Hamainza, Kafula Silumbe, Tom Smith, et al. 2017. “Estimation of Malaria Parasite Reservoir Coverage Using Reactive Case Detection and Active Community Fever Screening from Census Data with Rapid Diagnostic Tests in Southern Zambia: A Re-Sampling Approach.Malaria Journal 16 (August).


Yukich, Joshua O., and Nakul Chitnis. 2017. “Modelling the Implications of Stopping Vector Control for Malaria Control and Elimination.Malaria Journal 16 (October):411.

Abboubakar, H., B. Buonomo, and N. Chitnis. 2016. “Modelling the Effects of Malaria Infection on Mosquito Biting Behaviour and Attractiveness of Humans.” Ricerche Di Matematica 65 (1):329–46.


Alegana, Victor A., Simon P. Kigozi, Joaniter Nankabirwa, Emmanuel Arinaitwe, Ruth Kigozi, Henry Mawejje, Maxwell Kilama, et al. 2016. “Spatio-Temporal Analysis of Malaria Vector Density from Baseline through Intervention in a High Transmission Setting.” Parasites & Vectors 9 (December):637.


Bellinger, Andrew M., Mousa Jafari, Tyler M. Grant, Shiyi Zhang, Hannah C. Slater, Edward A. Wenger, Stacy Mo, et al. 2016. “Oral, Ultra–long-Lasting Drug Delivery: Application toward Malaria Elimination Goals.Science Translational Medicine 8 (365):365ra157-365ra157.


Brady, Oliver J., H. Charles J. Godfray, Andrew J. Tatem, Peter W. Gething, Justin M. Cohen, F. Ellis McKenzie, T. Alex Perkins, et al. 2016. “Vectorial Capacity and Vector Control: Reconsidering Sensitivity to Parameters for Malaria Elimination.Transactions of the Royal Society of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene 110 (2):107–17.


Drake, Tom L., Angela Devine, Shunmay Yeung, Nicholas P. J. Day, Lisa J. White, and Yoel Lubell. 2016. “Dynamic Transmission Economic Evaluation of Infectious Disease Interventions in Low‐ and Middle‐Income Countries: A Systematic Literature Review.” Health Economics 25 (Suppl Suppl 1):124–39.


Gerardin, Jaline, Caitlin A. Bever, Busiku Hamainza, John M. Miller, Philip A. Eckhoff, and Edward A. Wenger. 2016. “Optimal Population-Level Infection Detection Strategies for Malaria Control and Elimination in a Spatial Model of Malaria Transmission.” PLOS Computational Biology 12 (1):e1004707.


Gething, Peter W., Daniel C. Casey, Daniel J. Weiss, Donal Bisanzio, Samir Bhatt, Ewan Cameron, Katherine E. Battle, et al. 2016. “Mapping Plasmodium Falciparum Mortality in Africa between 1990 and 2015.New England Journal of Medicine 375 (25):2435–45.


Griffin, Jamie T, Samir Bhatt, Marianne E Sinka, Peter W Gething, Michael Lynch, Edith Patouillard, Erin Shutes, et al. 2016. “Potential for Reduction of Burden and Local Elimination of Malaria by Reducing Plasmodium Falciparum Malaria Transmission: A Mathematical Modelling Study.” The Lancet Infectious Diseases 16 (4):465–72.


Howes, Rosalind E., Katherine E. Battle, Kamini N. Mendis, David L. Smith, Richard E. Cibulskis, J. Kevin Baird, and Simon I. Hay. 2016. “Global Epidemiology of Plasmodium Vivax.” The American Journal of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene 95 (6 Suppl):15–34.


Huber, John H., Geoffrey L. Johnston, Bryan Greenhouse, David L. Smith, and T. Alex Perkins. 2016. “Quantitative, Model-Based Estimates of Variability in the Generation and Serial Intervals of Plasmodium Falciparum Malaria.” Malaria Journal 15 (September):490.


Katureebe, Agaba, Kate Zinszer, Emmanuel Arinaitwe, John Rek, Elijah Kakande, Katia Charland, Ruth Kigozi, et al. 2016. “Measures of Malaria Burden after Long-Lasting Insecticidal Net Distribution and Indoor Residual Spraying at Three Sites in Uganda: A Prospective Observational Study.” PLOS Medicine 13 (11):e1002167.


Korenromp, Eline, Guy Mahiané, Matthew Hamilton, Carel Pretorius, Richard Cibulskis, Jeremy Lauer, Thomas A. Smith, and Olivier J. T. Briët. 2016. “Malaria Intervention Scale-up in Africa: Effectiveness Predictions for Health Programme Planning Tools, Based on Dynamic Transmission Modelling.” Malaria Journal 15 (August).


Kyaw, Shwe Sin, Tom Drake, Aung Thi, Myat Phone Kyaw, Thaung Hlaing, Frank M. Smithuis, Lisa J. White, and Yoel Lubell. 2016. “Malaria Community Health Workers in Myanmar: A Cost Analysis.Malaria Journal 15 (January):41.


Lawniczak, Mara K. N., and Philip A. Eckhoff. 2016. “A Computational Lens for Sexual-Stage Transmission, Reproduction, Fitness and Kinetics in Plasmodium Falciparum.” Malaria Journal 15 (September):487.


Lin Ouédraogo, André, Bronner P. Gonçalves, Awa Gnémé, Edward A. Wenger, Moussa W. Guelbeogo, Amathe Ouédraogo, Jaline Gerardin, et al. 2016. “Dynamics of the Human Infectious Reservoir for Malaria Determined by Mosquito Feeding Assays and Ultrasensitive Malaria Diagnosis in Burkina Faso.The Journal of Infectious Diseases 213 (1):90–99.


Lubell, Yoel, Thomas Althaus, Stuart D. Blacksell, Daniel H. Paris, Mayfong Mayxay, Wirichada Pan-Ngum, Lisa J. White, Nicholas P. J. Day, and Paul N. Newton. 2016. “Modelling the Impact and Cost-Effectiveness of Biomarker Tests as Compared with Pathogen-Specific Diagnostics in the Management of Undifferentiated Fever in Remote Tropical Settings.” PLOS ONE 11 (3):e0152420.


Marshall, John M., Mahamoudou Touré, André Lin Ouédraogo, Micky Ndhlovu, Samson S. Kiware, Ashley Rezai, Emmy Nkhama, et al. 2016. “Key Traveller Groups of Relevance to Spatial Malaria Transmission: A Survey of Movement Patterns in Four Sub-Saharan African Countries.” Malaria Journal 15 (April):200.


Nikolov, Milen, Caitlin A. Bever, Alexander Upfill-Brown, Busiku Hamainza, John M. Miller, Philip A. Eckhoff, Edward A. Wenger, and Jaline Gerardin. 2016. “Malaria Elimination Campaigns in the Lake Kariba Region of Zambia: A Spatial Dynamical Model.PLOS Computational Biology 12 (11):e1005192.


Okell, L. C., and T. S. Churcher. 2016. “Generating the Evidence Base for Malaria Elimination: The Situation in Haiti.The Lancet Global Health 5(1): e16-17.


Parker, Daniel M., Jordi Landier, Lorenz von Seidlein, Arjen Dondorp, Lisa White, Borimas Hanboonkunupakarn, Richard J. Maude, and François H. Nosten. 2016. “Limitations of Malaria Reactive Case Detection in an Area of Low and Unstable Transmission on the Myanmar–Thailand Border.” Malaria Journal 15 (November):571.


Penny, Melissa A, Robert Verity, Caitlin A Bever, Christophe Sauboin, Katya Galactionova, Stefan Flasche, Michael T White, et al. 2016. “Public Health Impact and Cost-Effectiveness of the RTS,S/AS01 Malaria Vaccine: A Systematic Comparison of Predictions from Four Mathematical Models.” Lancet (London, England) 387 (10016):367–75.


Pothin, Emilie, Neil M. Ferguson, Chris J. Drakeley, and Azra C. Ghani. 2016. “Estimating Malaria Transmission Intensity from Plasmodium Falciparum Serological Data Using Antibody Density Models.” Malaria Journal 15 (February):79.


Rek, John, Shereen Katrak, Hannah Obasi, Patience Nayebare, Agaba Katureebe, Elijah Kakande, Emmanuel Arinaitwe, et al. 2016. “Characterizing Microscopic and Submicroscopic Malaria Parasitaemia at Three Sites with Varied Transmission Intensity in Uganda.” Malaria Journal 15 (September):470.


Rodriguez-Barraquer, Isabel, Emmanuel Arinaitwe, Prasanna Jagannathan, Michelle J. Boyle, Jordan Tappero, Mary Muhindo, Moses R. Kamya, et al. 2016. “Quantifying Heterogeneous Malaria Exposure and Clinical Protection in a Cohort of Ugandan Children.The Journal of Infectious Diseases 214 (7):1072–80.


Ruktanonchai, Nick W., Patrick DeLeenheer, Andrew J. Tatem, Victor A. Alegana, T. Trevor Caughlin, Elisabeth zu Erbach-Schoenberg, Christopher Lourenço, Corrine W. Ruktanonchai, and David L. Smith. 2016. “Identifying Malaria Transmission Foci for Elimination Using Human Mobility Data.” PLOS Computational Biology 12 (4):e1004846.


Ruktanonchai, Nick W., David L. Smith, and Patrick De Leenheer. 2016. “Parasite Sources and Sinks in a Patched Ross–Macdonald Malaria Model with Human and Mosquito Movement: Implications for Control.” Mathematical Biosciences 279 (Supplement C):90–101.


Smith, Thomas A., Nakul Chitnis, Melissa Penny, and Marcel Tanner. 2016. “Malaria Modeling in the Era of Eradication.Cold Spring Harbor Perspectives in Medicine, December, a025460.


Stuckey, Erin M., John M. Miller, Megan Littrell, Nakul Chitnis, and Rick Steketee. 2016. “Operational Strategies of Anti-Malarial Drug Campaigns for Malaria Elimination in Zambia’s Southern Province: A Simulation Study.Malaria Journal 15 (March):148.


Walker, Patrick G T, Jamie T Griffin, Neil M Ferguson, and Azra C Ghani. 2016. “Estimating the Most Efficient Allocation of Interventions to Achieve Reductions in Plasmodium Falciparum Malaria Burden and Transmission in Africa: A Modelling Study.The Lancet Global Health 4 (7):e474–84.


Zhao, Xia, David L. Smith, and Andrew J. Tatem. 2016. “Exploring the Spatiotemporal Drivers of Malaria Elimination in Europe.” Malaria Journal 15 (March):122.

Acevedo, Miguel A., Olivia Prosper, Kenneth Lopiano, Nick Ruktanonchai, T. Trevor Caughlin, Maia Martcheva, Craig W. Osenberg, and David L. Smith. 2015. “Spatial Heterogeneity, Host Movement and Mosquito-Borne Disease Transmission.PLOS ONE 10 (6):e0127552.


Adekunle, Adeshina I., Mykola Pinkevych, Rose McGready, Christine Luxemburger, Lisa J. White, François Nosten, Deborah Cromer, and Miles P. Davenport. 2015. “Modeling the Dynamics of Plasmodium Vivax Infection and Hypnozoite Reactivation In Vivo.PLOS Neglected Tropical Diseases 9 (3):e0003595.


Bhatt, S., D.J. Weiss, E. Cameron, D. Bisanzio, B. Mappin, U. Dalrymple, K. Battle, et al. 2015. “The Effect of Malaria Control on Plasmodium Falciparum in Africa between 2000 and 2015.Nature 526 (7572):207–11.


Bhatt, Samir, Daniel J. Weiss, Bonnie Mappin, Ursula Dalrymple, Ewan Cameron, Donal Bisanzio, David L. Smith, et al. 2015. “Coverage and System Efficiencies of Insecticide-Treated Nets in Africa from 2000 to 2017.” ELife 4 (December):e09672.


Brady, Oliver J., H. Charles J. Godfray, Andrew J. Tatem, Peter W. Gething, Justin M. Cohen, F. Ellis McKenzie, T. Alex Perkins, et al. 2015. “Adult Vector Control, Mosquito Ecology and Malaria Transmission.” International Health 7 (2):121–29.


Cairns, Matthew E., Patrick G. T. Walker, Lucy C. Okell, Jamie T. Griffin, Tini Garske, Kwaku Poku Asante, Seth Owusu-Agyei, et al. 2015. “Seasonality in Malaria Transmission: Implications for Case-Management with Long-Acting Artemisinin Combination Therapy in Sub-Saharan Africa.Malaria Journal 14 (August):321.


Cameron, Ewan, Katherine E. Battle, Samir Bhatt, Daniel J. Weiss, Donal Bisanzio, Bonnie Mappin, Ursula Dalrymple, et al. 2015. “Defining the Relationship between Infection Prevalence and Clinical Incidence of Plasmodium Falciparum Malaria.” Nature Communications 6 (September).


Daniels, Rachel F., Stephen F. Schaffner, Edward A. Wenger, Joshua L. Proctor, Hsiao-Han Chang, Wesley Wong, Nicholas Baro, et al. 2015. “Modeling Malaria Genomics Reveals Transmission Decline and Rebound in Senegal.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 112 (22):7067–72.


Drake, Tom L., Shwe Sin Kyaw, Myat Phone Kyaw, Frank M. Smithuis, Nicholas P. J. Day, Lisa J. White, and Yoel Lubell. 2015. “Cost Effectiveness and Resource Allocation of Plasmodium Falciparum Malaria Control in Myanmar: A Modelling Analysis of Bed Nets and Community Health Workers.” Malaria Journal 14 (September):376.


Eckhoff, Philip A, Caitlin A Bever, Jaline Gerardin, Edward A Wenger, and David L Smith. 2015. “From Puddles to Planet: Modeling Approaches to Vector-Borne Diseases at Varying Resolution and Scale.” Current Opinion in Insect Science, Social Insects * Vectors and Medical and Veterinary Entomology, 10 (Supplement C):118–23.


Galactionova, Katya, Fabrizio Tediosi, Don de Savigny, Thomas Smith, and Marcel Tanner. 2015. “Effective Coverage and Systems Effectiveness for Malaria Case Management in Sub-Saharan African Countries.” PLOS ONE 10 (5):e0127818.


Gerardin, Jaline, Philip Eckhoff, and Edward A. Wenger. 2015. “Mass Campaigns with Antimalarial Drugs: A Modelling Comparison of Artemether-Lumefantrine and DHA-Piperaquine with and without Primaquine as Tools for Malaria Control and Elimination.BMC Infectious Diseases 15 (March):144.


Gerardin, Jaline, André Lin Ouédraogo, Kevin A. McCarthy, Philip A. Eckhoff, and Edward A. Wenger. 2015. “Characterization of the Infectious Reservoir of Malaria with an Agent-Based Model Calibrated to Age-Stratified Parasite Densities and Infectiousness.Malaria Journal 14 (June):231.


Golding, Nick, Anne L. Wilson, Catherine L. Moyes, Jorge Cano, David M. Pigott, Raman Velayudhan, Simon J. Brooker, David L. Smith, Simon I. Hay, and Steve W. Lindsay. 2015. “Integrating Vector Control across Diseases.” BMC Medicine 13 (October):249.


Greenhouse, Bryan, and David L. Smith. 2015. “Malaria Genotyping for Epidemiologic Surveillance.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 112 (22):6782–83.


Griffin, Jamie T., T. Déirdre Hollingsworth, Hugh Reyburn, Chris J. Drakeley, Eleanor M. Riley, and Azra C. Ghani. 2015. “Gradual Acquisition of Immunity to Severe Malaria with Increasing Exposure.Proceedings of the Royal Society of London B: Biological Sciences 282 (1801):20142657.


Helb, Danica A., Kevin K. A. Tetteh, Philip L. Felgner, Jeff Skinner, Alan Hubbard, Emmanuel Arinaitwe, Harriet Mayanja-Kizza, et al. 2015. “Novel Serologic Biomarkers Provide Accurate Estimates of Recent Plasmodium Falciparum Exposure for Individuals and Communities.” Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America 112 (32):E4438–47.


Howes, Rosalind E., Robert C. Reiner Jr, Katherine E. Battle, Joshua Longbottom, Bonnie Mappin, Dariya Ordanovich, Andrew J. Tatem, et al. 2015. “Plasmodium Vivax Transmission in Africa.PLOS Neglected Tropical Diseases 9 (11):e0004222.


Kamya, Moses R., Emmanuel Arinaitwe, Humphrey Wanzira, Agaba Katureebe, Chris Barusya, Simon P. Kigozi, Maxwell Kilama, et al. 2015. “Malaria Transmission, Infection, and Disease at Three Sites with Varied Transmission Intensity in Uganda: Implications for Malaria Control.” The American Journal of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene 92 (5):903–12.


McCarthy, Kevin A., Edward A. Wenger, Grace H. Huynh, and Philip A. Eckhoff. 2015. “Calibration of an Intrahost Malaria Model and Parameter Ensemble Evaluation of a Pre-Erythrocytic Vaccine.Malaria Journal 14 (January):6.


Pemberton-Ross, Peter, Thomas A. Smith, Eva Maria Hodel, Katherine Kay, and Melissa A. Penny. 2015. “Age-Shifting in Malaria Incidence as a Result of Induced Immunological Deficit: A Simulation Study.Malaria Journal 14 (July):287.


Penny, Melissa A, Katya Galactionova, Michael Tarantino, Marcel Tanner, and Thomas A Smith. 2015. “The Public Health Impact of Malaria Vaccine RTS,S in Malaria Endemic Africa: Country-Specific Predictions Using 18 Month Follow-up Phase III Data and Simulation Models.” BMC Medicine 13 (July).


Penny, Melissa A., Nicolas Maire, Caitlin A. Bever, Peter Pemberton-Ross, Olivier J. T. Briët, David L. Smith, Peter W. Gething, and Thomas A. Smith. 2015. “Distribution of Malaria Exposure in Endemic Countries in Africa Considering Country Levels of Effective Treatment.” Malaria Journal 14 (October):384.


Penny, Melissa A., Peter Pemberton-Ross, and Thomas A. Smith. 2015. “The Time-Course of Protection of the RTS,S Vaccine against Malaria Infections and Clinical Disease.” Malaria Journal 14 (November):437.


Reiner, Robert C., Matthew Geary, Peter M. Atkinson, David L. Smith, and Peter W. Gething. 2015. “Seasonality of Plasmodium Falciparum Transmission: A Systematic Review.Malaria Journal 14 (September):343.


Reiner, Robert C., Carlos Guerra, Martin J. Donnelly, Teun Bousema, Chris Drakeley, and David L. Smith. 2015. “Estimating Malaria Transmission from Humans to Mosquitoes in a Noisy Landscape.” Journal of The Royal Society Interface 12 (111):20150478.


Reiner, Robert C., Arnaud Le Menach, Simon Kunene, Nyasatu Ntshalintshali, Michelle S. Hsiang, T. Alex Perkins, Bryan Greenhouse, Andrew J. Tatem, Justin M. Cohen, and David L. Smith. 2015. “Mapping Residual Transmission for Malaria Elimination.ELife 4 (December):e09520.


Silal, Sheetal P., Francesca Little, Karen I. Barnes, and Lisa J. White. 2015. “Predicting the Impact of Border Control on Malaria Transmission: A Simulated Focal Screen and Treat Campaign.Malaria Journal 14 (July):268.


Slater, Hannah C., Amanda Ross, André Lin Ouédraogo, Lisa J. White, Chea Nguon, Patrick G. T. Walker, Pengby Ngor, et al. 2015. “Assessing the Impact of Next-Generation Rapid Diagnostic Tests on Plasmodium Falciparum Malaria Elimination Strategies.Nature 528 (7580):S94-101.


Upton, L. M., P. M. Brock, T. S. Churcher, A. C. Ghani, P. W. Gething, M. J. Delves, K. A. Sala, D. Leroy, R. E. Sinden, and A. M. Blagborough. 2015. “Lead Clinical and Preclinical Antimalarial Drugs Can Significantly Reduce Sporozoite Transmission to Vertebrate Populations.Antimicrobial Agents and Chemotherapy 59 (1):490–97.


Walker, Patrick G T, Michael T White, Jamie T Griffin, Alison Reynolds, Neil M Ferguson, and Azra C Ghani. 2015. “Malaria Morbidity and Mortality in Ebola-Affected Countries Caused by Decreased Health-Care Capacity, and the Potential Effect of Mitigation Strategies: A Modelling Analysis.The Lancet Infectious Diseases 15 (7):825–32.


White, Lisa J., Jennifer A. Flegg, Aung Pyae Phyo, Ja Hser Wiladpai-ngern, Delia Bethell, Christopher Plowe, Tim Anderson, et al. 2015. “Defining the In Vivo Phenotype of Artemisinin-Resistant Falciparum Malaria: A Modelling Approach.PLOS Medicine 12 (4):e1001823.


White, Michael T., Robert Verity, Thomas S. Churcher, and Azra C. Ghani. 2015. “Vaccine Approaches to Malaria Control and Elimination: Insights from Mathematical Models.Vaccine, Malaria Vaccines 2015, 33 (52):7544–50.


White, Michael T, Robert Verity, Jamie T Griffin, Kwaku Poku Asante, Seth Owusu-Agyei, Brian Greenwood, Chris Drakeley, et al. 2015. “Immunogenicity of the RTS,S/AS01 Malaria Vaccine and Implications for Duration of Vaccine Efficacy: Secondary Analysis of Data from a Phase 3 Randomised Controlled Trial.The Lancet Infectious Diseases 15 (12):1450–58.


Wu, Lindsey, Lotus L. van den Hoogen, Hannah Slater, Patrick G. T. Walker, Azra C. Ghani, Chris J. Drakeley, and Lucy C. Okell. 2015. “Comparison of Diagnostics for the Detection of Asymptomatic Plasmodium Falciparum Infections to Inform Control and Elimination Strategies.Nature 528 (7580):S86-93.

Battle, Katherine E., Markku S. Karhunen, Samir Bhatt, Peter W. Gething, Rosalind E. Howes, Nick Golding, Thomas P. Van Boeckel, et al. 2014. “Geographical Variation in Plasmodium Vivax Relapse.Malaria Journal 13 (April):144.


Bejon, Philip, Thomas N. Williams, Christopher Nyundo, Simon I. Hay, David Benz, Peter W. Gething, Mark Otiende, et al. 2014. “A Micro-Epidemiological Analysis of Febrile Malaria in Coastal Kenya Showing Hotspots within Hotspots.ELife 3 (April):e02130.


Bennett, Adam, Joshua Yukich, John M Miller, Penelope Vounatsou, Busiku Hamainza, Mercy M Ingwe, Hawela B Moonga, et al. 2014. “A Methodological Framework for the Improved Use of Routine Health System Data to Evaluate National Malaria Control Programs: Evidence from Zambia.Population Health Metrics 12 (November).


Bousema, Teun, Lucy Okell, Ingrid Felger, and Chris Drakeley. 2014. “Asymptomatic Malaria Infections: Detectability, Transmissibility and Public Health Relevance.Nature Reviews Microbiology 12 (12):833.


Chabot-Couture, Guillaume, Karima Nigmatulina, and Philip Eckhoff. 2014. “An Environmental Data Set for Vector-Borne Disease Modeling and Epidemiology.PLOS ONE 9 (4):e94741.


Eckhoff, Philip A., Caitlin A. Bever, Jaline Gerardin, and Edward A. Wenger. 2014. “Fun with Maths: Exploring Implications of Mathematical Models for Malaria Eradication.” Malaria Journal 13 (December):486.


Gething, Peter W., Katherine E. Battle, Samir Bhatt, David L. Smith, Thomas P. Eisele, Richard E. Cibulskis, and Simon I. Hay. 2014. “Declining Malaria in Africa: Improving the Measurement of Progress.Malaria Journal 13 (January):39.


Guerra, Carlos A., Robert C. Reiner, T. Alex Perkins, Steve W. Lindsay, Janet T. Midega, Oliver J. Brady, Christopher M. Barker, et al. 2014. “A Global Assembly of Adult Female Mosquito Mark-Release-Recapture Data to Inform the Control of Mosquito-Borne Pathogens.” Parasites & Vectors 7 (June):276.


Imai, Natsuko, Michael T. White, Azra C. Ghani, and Chris J. Drakeley. 2014. “Transmission and Control of Plasmodium Knowlesi: A Mathematical Modelling Study.PLOS Neglected Tropical Diseases 8 (7):e2978.


Johnston, Geoffrey L., Peter W. Gething, Simon I. Hay, David L. Smith, and David A. Fidock. 2014. “Modeling Within-Host Effects of Drugs on Plasmodium Falciparum Transmission and Prospects for Malaria Elimination.PLOS Computational Biology 10 (1):e1003434.


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